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INEC and 2011 elections in Nigeria

August 18, 2010 By: Olaleke Category: 2011 elections, nigeria, nigeria news, politics

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The issue of ineffective governance in the country and its implications account for incredible elections which results in leadership tussles in our society.

The 1999, 2003 and 2007 elections  are now history, but it is left to observers to judge whether or not any of those  elections  were blatantly rigged. The issue is, how much difference will Professor Attahiru Jega make in the 2011 election? (more…)

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On Nigeria at 50

July 14, 2010 By: babalobi Category: nigeria, nigeria news, politics

As Nigeria marks its 50th anniversary, the prognosis is not very encouraging. Many youths remain jobless while 70 percent or our population, nostly in the rural areas, live in abject povertyTwenty-six years ago, the late Sonny Okosuns in one of his hit songs asked rhetorically– “Which Way Nigeria?”

Apparently perplexed by slow pace of the country’s development efforts, the music maestro expressed his worry over the myriad of socio-economic, religious and political problems stopping Nigeria from reaching the promised land.

With Nigeria four months away from celebrating its 50th independence anniversary, Okosuns’ pertinent question is still valid. Which way is Nigeria going with its socio-political, economic, and infrastructural development? What concrete actions have Nigerian leaders taken to actualise Vision 2020 which will make Nigeria an El Dorado?

Why is the country unable to find lasting solutions to its problems despite its huge human and natural resources? Why is it that at 50, the country is still struggling to provide its citizens with the basic necessities of life? There is inadequate infrastructure and social amenities are practically non-existent because the economy is comatose. Consequently, our political future is still very uncertain.

As Nigeria marks its 50th anniversary, the prognosis is not very encouraging. Many youths remain jobless while 70 percent of our population, mostly in the rural areas live in abject poverty. The health sector is in chaos and whatever services are left would soon be crippled if resident doctors carry out their threat to embark on strike.

The education sector is a metaphor for decay. Suffice it to say that Nigeria’s growth has remained retarded because of its leaders’ pursuit of pecuniary interests. In the event, myopic leadership, nepotism, mediocrity, hydra-headed corruption,  have all combined to negate the country’s development agenda over the years.

Largely because of selfish interest, successive governments have been in the habit of torpedoing policies initiated by their predecessors, to score cheap political points in order to gain public acceptance. These policy somersaults with their attendant instability and the wrong signals they send to the investing public, explain why the economic sector is still very wobbly.

In some of the sectors like banking, oil and gas, agriculture, good old policies have been upturned in the name of ill-thought out reforms. Now, the universal banking, which has been in existence since 2000 is being no more. The policy on fertiliser has gone through several reversals making it almost impossible for farmers to get the much-needed farming input to enhance productivity.

The instability in the oil and gas sector, which yields 80 percent of Nigeria’s revenue is also a product of bad leadership. In the past five years, five different group managing directors have been appointed to run the Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation, NNPC. The removal of Shehu Ladan, the last group managing director of NNPC, who was in office for about a month and three weeks while he was on official business in London, sends a wrong signal about the seriousness of the country to reform the sector.

There has been much talk about repositioning the Corporation to compete effectively with the other world oil companies and moving the country to join the league of most developed economies by 2020. The Petroleum Industry Bill which is the bedrock of achieving this objective right now is in limbo particularly because the international oil companies are contesting the fiscal regime it will introduce. Who wants to put his investment in a fragile, unstable economy where the cost of doing business is outrageously high?

Little wonder then that capital flight from the economy hit $20 billion in 2009, according to Central Bank of Nigeria.  Surprisingly, the Nigerian government and the country’s economic managers are not losing sleep over this. Neither are they putting proper structures in place to actualise the lofty ambition of joining the league of developed economies by 2020.

Perhaps, Nigeria should take a cue from Russian president Dmitry Medvedev’s actions to restore the glory of his country through innovations in science and technology. Russia and Nigeria have many things in common. Both countries rely heavily on revenue from oil and gas. Both have chronic cases of corruption and the brutalisation of journalists who write about official corruption.

But through the “Strategy 2020” and the Skolkovo project, Medvedev aims to liberate Russia from its heavy reliance on oil and gas by reviving the greatness of a nation once known for scientific and technological achievements. He is also working hard to curb official corruption.  With Skolkovo, Russia is trying to create a new economy by starting an enclave for Russia’s leading business school, which is private, but which receives some state grant for research.

The enclave will mirror the relationship between Stanford University and Silicon Valley in United States of America. The important difference with the Nigerian situation is that the Russian president is not just mouthing Strategy 2020 as our government officials do with Vision 2020.

Rather, he has concrete plans and objectives which he is pursuing with vigour. With the Strategy 2020, Russia plans that the technology sector will make up 15 percent of exports or about 10 percent of GDP by 2020. Currently, it’s about 1.1 percent of GDP. According to “Smart Russia” an article published in Newsweek, Medvedev is pumping billions of state funds into projects including Skolkovo, the world’s biggest nanotechnology-investment fund and a programme designed to lure Russian émigrés and their companies back to the homeland.

As Nigerians plan to celebrate  50 years of independence, the lesson from the Russian experience is that our leaders should embark on projects that will harness the best Nigerian brains both within and in the diaspora and hasten the country’s move to attain Vision 2020. It is the only way to ensure that we know where we are going in the years to come.

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Nigeria, 2011 and voters’ register

July 08, 2010 By: babalobi Category: nigeria, nigeria news, politics

No one can accuse President Goodluck Jonathan of a lack of seriousness in his much-stated desire to reform Nigeria’s problematic voting system. After a long and much debated search, Mr Jonathan appeared to have hit the jackpot with the choice of former academic, unionist and administrator, Attahiru Jega as chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC).

The choice of Mr Jega and some other commissioners has been largely hailed, although some wary commentators have cautioned that the problem afflicting the electoral system have more to do with its rules than with the personnel.

To be fair to the critics, it is partly true that the problem with INEC is more systemic than one of individuals. The task facing Mr Jega and his team is further underlined by the dictates of time.

The new leadership of INEC has only a few months (the new electoral time table is not even out because it is dependent on the constitutional amendment exercise being carried out by our lawmakers) to get a grip on the commission and tackle the many problems facing it.

For starters, Nigerians do not know which political parties will participate in the polls yet, although this is hardly the problem of the electoral body. Politicians of all stripes are still holding meetings and consultations to construct appropriate political vehicles for realising their ambitions in the polls. INEC will, however have to process these vehicles and decide which of them will be able to present candidates for the elections.

The organisation also has to deal with internal staffing inadequacies. Perhaps no other set of public officials, except maybe those of the Police force, are as distrusted by Nigerians as officials of INEC .There is no doubt that the new electoral managers will have to re-staff the organisation to the appropriate size and subject its personnel to training and retraining.

But above all it is the widespread angst over the National Register of Voters that of uppermost concern to many Nigerians. Both politicians and ordinary voters agree that the voters’ register used by INEC for the last elections is so badly flawed as to be dysfunctional. Something surely has to be done about this. In fact, some political groups and civil society organisations have threatened to de legitimize the next elections if the register is not overhauled.

An analysis done by the Inter Society-Nigeria, with the example of the last election in Anambra State , shows that out of 1.84 million ‘registered voters’ in the state’s Register of Voters, only about 600,000 were real names or verifiable names.

A little above 301,000 of them voted in the February 6, 2010 governorship election in the state, which returned Peter Obi as victor .

The list is filled with thousands of contrived identities and symbols, along with names of the dead and foreigners. All these come with INEC- given code numbers and this bogus compilation which boosted the list to the stated 61 million registered Nigerians creates room for a lot of shenanigan.

As stated by Inter Society, if a genuine election is conducted in Nigeria as was done in Anambra State, the winner of the presidential election may not score more than 5 million to 10 million votes. Late President Umaru Musa Yar’Adua was said to have scored 24 million votes in 2007.

INEC is also supposed to periodically update its register with new voters , deleting the names of those who have died. This is a tough task, because even the National Population Commission has struggled to update its roll of Nigerians.

But INEC has apparently not even attached much importance to this. Thus millions of Nigerians who missed the last registration exercise done years ago, because they are newly of age or they were out of the country, might not partake in the next election either, unless a new exercise is conducted.

But registration is not the end of it. Millions of people who registered during the last exercise are yet to get their voter cards. In Lagos alone, the figure of those without their cards is said to be about 2.1 million people, out of a total registered list of 4.2 million.

It is therefore in the interest of the new INEC leadership to get to work winning the hearts of Nigerians by starting a new voters register. It is to the benefits of all.

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Politics in Nigeria by Professor Chukwuma C. Soludo

July 04, 2010 By: babalobi Category: nigeria, nigeria news, politics

Prof Chukwuma Soludo, former Governor of Nigeria’s Cental Bank writes on the need to reform Nigerian Politics.
This lecture is about provoking informed debate about how to proactively prepare for Nigeria to be a major player in the 21st Century, and avert any doomsday scenario. I will argue that sustainable survival will depend on how urgently Nigeria reorganizes itself for a world with minimal dependence on oil and other natural resources.

My thesis here is that without realigning the incentive- sanctions regime, the talk about diversification of the economy will remain what it has been since the 1970s— just a wish! (more…)

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Nigeria: Jega promises electoral reforms

July 02, 2010 By: Olaleke Category: nigeria, nigeria news, politics

Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Attahiru Jega, has promised  sweeping reforms to ensure only credible candidates are elected and sworn into office next year.

Chinedu Offor, reporting from Lagos, said Jega promised President Goodluck Jonathan that only credible members of the INEC staff will be retained.

“What that means is that he is going to fire a lot of workers whom he thinks have compromised their position and increase the wages of those workers to insulate them, if that is possible, from financial inducement or bribery from politicians.

“He will also carry out training of the staff, especially in…using computers to assure votes are counted,” said Offor.

Jega will encounter challenges in his efforts to achieve these goals, Offor said.  For instance, he will have to contend with influential politicians who want their candidates to be elected.

Jega also has to deal with the funding of INEC. Offor said the Senate wants it to be an independent body, not just in name, but also in reality, by having its budget set aside, instead of the being controlled by the president.

Another challenge will be to reduce the number of political parties.

“Right now, in Nigeria, we have approximately 53 potential parties, and most of them are not viable.  So [Jega] has to find a way of reducing the number of political parties, which the Senate has asked him to do,” explained Offor.

“But the big question is: ‘How is he going to do this democratically?’

“The constitution of Nigeria allows anyone to set up their own political association.  How are you going to prune down the number of political parties that have already been approved by INEC?”

Atta Jega says he will do everything possible to ensure there is a legitimate number of political parties in Nigeria that can effectively challenge any ruling party.

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Nigeria: Senator Yariman and Zamfara State

July 02, 2010 By: babalobi Category: nigeria, nigeria news, politics


Former governor of  Zamfara State,  Senator Ahmed Sani Yariman Bakura has been accused of overheating the polity of Zamfara state.
National Vanguard for the Political Awareness of Nigeria (NAVPO),accused  Yariman Bakura of overheating the polity of Zamfara state by moving with hired political thugs to attack innocent people during his last week’s tour to some local governments in the state.

Zamfara State chapter Co-ordinator, Barrister Mustafa Mahe Maradun, announced this in a statement made available to the Leadership Newspaper, in Abuja yesterday.

Barrister Mustafa Mahe stated that former Governor Yarima’s political approach toward issues on Zamfara political unity were very dubious and callous, capable of creating political disunity among majority of the Zamfara State people.

He said the way and manner Yarima conducts his political campaign were very dangerous, shameful to the survival of peace and unity of the state, going by the outcome of last week’s attack on some innocent victims passing along Kasuwar Daji, in Kaurar Namoda Local Government and Maru-Gusau road, in Maru Local Government respectively.

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Nigeria Government and World cup 2010

July 02, 2010 By: babalobi Category: football, nigeria, nigeria news, politics

In France and Nigeria, politicians have stepped out of line by acting as though their national teams’ World Cup disasters are major affairs of state that should divert them from other, truly vital issues of life. They are not. And pretending otherwise just smacks of political opportunism.

If soccer players need to apologize to anyone for on- and off-field performances, then it is to their longtime supporters — to the ordinary men, women and kids who root for them, not to politicians whose sudden interest in the misfortune of a national squad is suspiciously timed.

Yes, Nigeria had a poor World Cup. It hasn’t won a World Cup match since 1998 and again went without a victory this time.

But no, that doesn’t mean Nigerian players should now be made to sit in disgrace in a corner, banned from taking part in any international soccer for the next two years — which is what the West African nation’s president, Goodluck Jonathan, has decreed.

“The nation has been punished enough. Enough,” said Rotimi Amaechi, head of a presidential task force on the nation’s World Cup team. “People have had heart attacks, people have had all sorts of issues because of Nigerian football. We now want to reorganize and get back to what it used to be when it was the pride of the nation.”

Sounds serious. Way too serious, in fact. Losing is as much a part of sports as winning. Nigeria’s government should perhaps be explaining that simple fact to disappointed fans not whipping up emotions by taking an extreme view of defeat. The hundreds of death threats that were e-mailed to midfielder Sani Kaita after he collected a red card in Nigeria’s 2-1 loss to Greece showed how ugly things can get when soccer passions spill over.

Media reports out of Nigeria say the government will also be investigating allegations of soccer corruption there — there’s nothing wrong with that if the probe has no hidden political motives. And the government won’t be faulted if it catches soccer bosses with their hands in the till and misspending money that should have gone toward the sport.

But the best way to get the national team, dubbed the Super Eagles, to play better can hardly be by stopping it from playing at all. Two years out of international soccer, if it really comes to that, would mean Nigerian players missing the next African Cup of Nations and perhaps even the 2012 Olympic Games. That hardly seems likely to position them nicely for the next World Cup in Brazil in 2014, if they even qualify.

Whether the Nigerian president really does have the power to clip the wings of the Super Eagles, who are not meant to take their orders from government, remains to be seen. But the end result may be the same if soccer’s international governing body, FIFA, determines that Jonathan is sticking his nose into matters that shouldn’t concern him. FIFA takes a very dim, if at times also selective, view of political meddling in soccer and could respond by suspending Nigeria. That would mean no international soccer for all Nigerian teams, including clubs.

France’s government is also making a political mountain of the national team’s World Cup fiasco. France’s players made fools of themselves by rebelling against their coach Raymond Domenech and the French Football Federation at the World Cup, even refusing to practice one day. And French lawmakers have subsequently looked foolish, too, by acting as if this really is a major issue for France.

They grilled Domenech and outgoing federation president Jean-Pierre Escalettes on Wednesday. But they let the pair off the hook by holding the hearing behind closed doors. That was unfair to fans, because instead of speaking to lawmakers, to whom they owe no explanation, Domenech and Escalettes should have spoken to and apologized directly to the French public — which they still have not fully done.

None of this is to say that soccer players and officials shouldn’t be held accountable — to fans — when they play or act poorly. And politicians of course should have a say when matters in sports go beyond the field of play. That could be the case with doping, for example, which is both a sports and a public health issue.

But let’s not turn World Cup players into political footballs just because they disappoint.

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Impeach President Yar’adua now-OPC urges NASS

February 06, 2010 By: babalobi Category: politics

Press Statement by Founder of the Odua Peoples Congress, Dr Frederick Fasehun

Having watched with a mixture of disbelief, disgust and disappointment the unfolding events that have beset our Beloved Nation these past days, we wish to bring to your attention the need for the National Assembly to act promptly and decisively to stave off calamity arising from this disquieting drift.

Like anybody with any tinge of human feeling, we strongly wish Alhaji Umar Yar’Adua ultimate recovery from the ailment he suffers from. However, we wish to place on record that because of the impunity with which he has treated the Nigerian people and the Constitution that he swore to uphold, His Excellency has completely spent the goodwill of majority of Nigerians. (more…)

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Nigeria, a toddler at 50

January 11, 2010 By: babalobi Category: politics

by Bankole Olubamise

Karl Maier’s seminal book on Nigeria –This House Has Fallen (Public Affairs 2000), Robert Kaplan’s “The Coming Anarchy” – The Atlantic Monthly – Feb 1994 and the recent presentation by Ambassador Princeton Lyman at the Brown University Colloquia on Chinua Achebe (2009), especially the statement that – “Nigeria is fast becoming irrelevant to the world”- which more or less sums up the entire presentation, are three external commentaries on Nigeria that we must all take to mind when considering the current state of the Nigerian nation.

We have been praying for many things! However, we have to face reality and do the RIGHT things for our prayers to be meaningful. (more…)

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How Nigerian Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab became a terrorist-Obama

January 02, 2010 By: babalobi Category: politics

President Barack Obama few minutes ago gave more insights into how 23 year Nigerian Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab got indoctrinated into terrorism and attempted bombing a US airliner Christmas day

Speaking through his weekly Radio and Internet site, Obama alleged that al-Qaida affiliate in Yemen apparently ordered the Christmas Day plot against a U.S. airliner, training and arming the 23-year-old Nigerian man accused in the failed bombing,

“This is not the first time this group has targeted us,” Obama said, reporting on some of the findings of an administration review into how intelligence agencies failed to prevent Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab from boarding Detroit-bound Northwest Flight 253.

In his most direct public language to date, Obama described the path through Yemen of Abdulmutallab. He also emphasized that the United States would continue its partnerships with friendly countries — citing Yemen, in particular — to fight terrorists and extremist groups. (more…)

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